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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run on 47.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.
  • With an exceptional tally of 3.21 yards after contact (85th percentile), Khalil Herbert has been as one of the unyielding RBs in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Khalil Herbert has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 55.7% of snaps vs just 34.9% last season.
  • Khalil Herbert's 4.3 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys a meaningful regression in his running talent over last season's 5.4 figure.

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