Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Khalil Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Herbert

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run on 47.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.
With an exceptional tally of 3.21 yards after contact (85th percentile), Khalil Herbert has been as one of the unyielding RBs in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Khalil Herbert has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 55.7% of snaps vs just 34.9% last season.
Khalil Herbert's 4.3 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys a meaningful regression in his running talent over last season's 5.4 figure.

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