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Khalil Herbert
NFL · Player Props
Khalil Herbert
RB · Chicago Bears
Rushing Yards
New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears · Week 7, 2022 Updated Oct 24, 2022 11:36 PM UTC
NFL Props Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-104/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -126.

Favors Over
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Khalil Herbert has rushed for significantly more yards per game (67.0) this season than he did last season (26.0).
  • Khalil Herbert's ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 6.37 yards-per-carry vs a mere 4.07 mark last year.
Favors Under
  • The Bears are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.0 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Khalil Herbert to be a less important option in his team's running game this week (26.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (39.6% in games he has played).
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