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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Chicago Bears vs Houston Texans

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.7% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most yards in football (144 per game) against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 28.26 seconds per snap.

The Chicago Bears offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

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