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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Khalil Herbert has rushed for many more yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (26.0).

Khalil Herbert's ground efficiency has gotten a boost this year, averaging 5.79 yards-per-carry compared to a measly 4.07 figure last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.

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