My Account Log Out

reorder

Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears

Khalil Herbert Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+131/-179).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -168 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -179.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.6% red zone run rate.

Khalil Herbert has garnered 50.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 6th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

The Chicago Bears have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.41 seconds per snap.

The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

More Khalil Herbert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™