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Khalil Herbert
NFL · Player Props
Khalil Herbert
RB · Chicago Bears
Receptions
Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 28, 2023 4:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Khalil Herbert Receptions

Khalil Herbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.

Favors Over
  • This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Khalil Herbert's 17.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 5.5.
  • Khalil Herbert's receiving talent has been refined this season, totaling 2.0 adjusted receptions compared to just 0.7 last season.
  • The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (92.3%) to running backs this year (92.3%).
Favors Under
  • The projections expect the Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Khalil Herbert's 70.1% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a significant reduction in his receiving ability over last season's 81.8% rate.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
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