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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • Khalil Herbert has run a route on 28.3% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
  • Khalil Herbert has been among the most efficient receivers in football among running backs, averaging an impressive 10.01 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
  • Khalil Herbert has been among the top running backs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a terrific 10.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.
  • Khalil Herbert has totaled a meager -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 11th percentile among RBs.
  • Khalil Herbert's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 81.8% to 64.7%.

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