Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

My Account Log Out

reorder

Khalil Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Herbert

RB · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
When talking about air yards, Khalil Herbert grades out in the towering 90th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a superb 3.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
Khalil Herbert's 17.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 5.5.
Khalil Herbert has compiled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (4.0).

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Khalil Herbert's 70.1% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a significant reduction in his receiving ability over last season's 81.8% rate.
This year, the daunting Vikings defense has given up the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a meager 5.0 yards.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Khalil Herbert Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow