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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Khalil Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Khalil Herbert to accumulate 13.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Khalil Herbert to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (43.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (30.3% in games he has played).
  • The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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