Khalil Herbert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Khalil Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Herbert

RB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Khalil Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Khalil Herbert to accumulate 13.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Khalil Herbert to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (43.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (30.3% in games he has played).
The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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