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KhaDarel Hodge

KhaDarel Hodge Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons

KhaDarel Hodge Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Falcons offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.58 seconds per snap.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Khadarel Hodge has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (31.4% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (16.1%).

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Falcons profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's collection of safeties has been lousy this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With a puny 1.2 adjusted catches per game (16th percentile) this year, Khadarel Hodge rates as one of the bottom wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

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