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KhaDarel Hodge

KhaDarel Hodge Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts

KhaDarel Hodge Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +180 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Khadarel Hodge has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (31.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (16.1%).

The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 51.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

Khadarel Hodge ranks as one of the worst wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a measly 1.2 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 16th percentile when it comes to WRs.

The Colts safeties rank as the 7th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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