KhaDarel Hodge Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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KhaDarel Hodge

NFL · Player Props

KhaDarel Hodge

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

KhaDarel Hodge Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-195).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 137.0 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
The Falcons have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.9 plays per game.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
Khadarel Hodge's 32.3% Route Participation% this year reflects a noteable boost in his air attack usage over last year's 16.1% mark.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
This year, the daunting Saints defense has conceded a measly 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 5th-lowest rate in football.
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New Orleans's collection of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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