KhaDarel Hodge Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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KhaDarel Hodge

NFL · Player Props

KhaDarel Hodge

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

KhaDarel Hodge Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
KhaDarel Hodge has accumulated quite a few more receiving yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).
KhaDarel Hodge's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 54.0% to 70.6%.
KhaDarel Hodge's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this season, totaling 11.22 yards-per-target compared to a mere 6.60 figure last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.
KhaDarel Hodge has run a route on 21.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile among WRs.
KhaDarel Hodge has notched far fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 132.0) versus WRs this year.

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