Kenyan Drake Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kenyan Drake

NFL · Player Props

Kenyan Drake

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Kenyan Drake Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Kenyan Drake has run for many more yards per game (45.0) this season than he did last season (21.0).
Kenyan Drake's rushing efficiency has improved this season, notching 5.74 yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.99 mark last season.
The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing 5.51 yards-per-carry.
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-least run-centric team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 36.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Kenyan Drake to be a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this week (15.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (33.3% in games he has played).

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