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Kenyan Drake

Kenyan Drake Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Kenyan Drake Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+113/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Kenyan Drake has run for many more yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (21.0).
  • The Denver Broncos defensive ends profile as the 3rd-worst DE corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kenyan Drake to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack this week (13.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (30.6% in games he has played).

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