Kenyan Drake Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kenyan Drake

NFL · Player Props

Kenyan Drake

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Kenyan Drake Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+113/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Kenyan Drake has run for many more yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (21.0).
The Denver Broncos defensive ends profile as the 3rd-worst DE corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Kenyan Drake to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack this week (13.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (30.6% in games he has played).

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