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Kenyan Drake

Kenyan Drake Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

Kenyan Drake Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+159/-224).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 44.8% red zone run rate.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.8 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Kenyan Drake to be a more integral piece of his team's run game near the end zone this week (51.6% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.5% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

The Miami Dolphins defensive ends project as the 4th-best DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box against opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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