Kenyan Drake Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kenyan Drake

NFL · Player Props

Kenyan Drake

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenyan Drake Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Kenyan Drake has been among the most effective receivers in football among running backs, averaging a stellar 7.79 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 90th percentile.
Kenyan Drake has been among the top RBs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 8.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 87th percentile.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.1 plays per game.
Kenyan Drake has accrued a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among RBs.
Kenyan Drake's 4.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 13.7.
Kenyan Drake has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the least receiving yards per game in football (just 17.0) to RBs this year.

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