Kenyan Drake Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kenyan Drake

NFL · Player Props

Kenyan Drake

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenyan Drake Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has surrendered the 5th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (43.0) to RBs this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Kenyan Drake has compiled a measly -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 6th percentile among RBs.

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