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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Kenny Pickett this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the model to run 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.1 plays per game.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's safety corps has been lousy this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the least pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (44.3% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and increased ground volume.

In this contest, Kenny Pickett is predicted by the projection model to total the 3rd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 27.8.

More Kenny Pickett Player Props

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