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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.0% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.

This year, the anemic Titans defense has been gouged for a massive 76.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-highest rate in the league.

The Tennessee Titans linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.

In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year.

Kenny Pickett's passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 64.9% to 60.4%.

Kenny Pickett has been among the bottom touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging a miserable 0.71 per game while checking in at the 19th percentile.

The Titans defense has given up the 3rd-fewest passing TDs in the NFL: 1.00 per game this year.

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