Kenny Pickett TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

TD Passes

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 25, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-185).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.5% red zone pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Kenny Pickett's passing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 64.9% to 60.1%.
Kenny Pickett has been among the bottom touchdown throwers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a miserable 0.60 per game while ranking in the 8th percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the best unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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