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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+209/-286).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +209.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league versus the Cardinals defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).

The Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for the 4th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.75 per game this year.

The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks rank as the worst collection of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Steelers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.

In this week's contest, Kenny Pickett is expected by the projection model to average the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.7.

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