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Kenny Pickett
NFL · Player Props
Kenny Pickett
QB · Pittsburgh Steelers
TD Passes
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:16 PM UTC
NFL Props Kenny Pickett TD Passes

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+209/-286).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +209.

Favors Over
  • Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league versus the Cardinals defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for the 4th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.75 per game this year.
  • The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks rank as the worst collection of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Favors Under
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Steelers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • In this week's contest, Kenny Pickett is expected by the projection model to average the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.7.
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