Kenny Pickett TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

TD Passes

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+230/-310).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (59.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Steelers.
At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect Kenny Pickett to attempt 31.7 passes this week, on balance: the 8th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
Kenny Pickett's 60.7% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a noteable regression in his passing precision over last year's 64.9% figure.
With a dreadful ratio of only 0.60 per game (18th percentile), Kenny Pickett rates among the weakest touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.

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