Kenny Pickett TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

TD Passes

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.7% red zone pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.

Favors Under

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
Kenny Pickett's throwing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 64.9% to 61.0%.
Kenny Pickett has been one of the weakest touchdown passers in football this year, averaging a paltry 0.67 per game while grading out in the 24th percentile.

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