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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +178 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.7% red zone pass rate.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Kenny Pickett has been among the worst touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrible 0.54 per game while checking in at the 6th percentile.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed the 5th-least TDs through the air in the league: 1.18 per game since the start of last season.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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