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Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.In this game, Kenny Pickett is predicted by the predictive model to earn the 9th-most carries out of all QBs with 3.6. The projections expect Kenny Pickett to be a much bigger part of his team's run game in this week's contest (13.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (7.9% in games he has played).In regards to blocking for rushers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 10th-best in football last year.When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.Kenny Pickett has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (4.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).Kenny Pickett's 1.96 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a noteable decrease in his running skills over last season's 4.40 rate.This year, the stout Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has given up a puny 85.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 5th-best in the NFL.
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