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Kenny Pickett
NFL · Player Props
Kenny Pickett
QB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Rushing Yards
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -133.

Favors Over
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to run 67.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • While Kenny Pickett has garnered 6.5% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Pittsburgh's run game in this week's contest at 12.5%.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.
Favors Under
  • The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 40.4% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.
  • Kenny Pickett has averaged a measly 1.5 rush attempts per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the NFL among QBs (23rd percentile).
  • Kenny Pickett's 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a a significant decline in his running proficiency over last year's 17.0 figure.
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