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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The model projects the Steelers to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.

Kenny Pickett has averaged 3.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the largest rates in the league among QBs (76th percentile).

The model projects Kenny Pickett to be a more important option in his offense's running game this week (12.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.3% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have been the 8th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 35.4% run rate.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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