Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 6:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 46.8% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

The Steelers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
After accounting for 13.0% of his team's run game usage last year, Kenny Pickett has been called on less the run game this year, now making up only 7.5%.
Kenny Pickett's 6.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a meaningful diminishment in his rushing ability over last year's 17.0 rate.
Kenny Pickett's 2.95 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season reflects a significant reduction in his running prowess over last season's 4.40 figure.
With a lousy tally of 1.15 yards-after-contact (21st percentile), Kenny Pickett stands among the weakest rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

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