Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to run on 47.4% of their downs: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.
This year, the fierce Bengals run defense has given up a mere 4.98 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 30th-lowest rate in the league.
The Bengals linebackers rank as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

After making up 13.0% of his team's rush attempts last season, Kenny Pickett has had a smaller role in the rushing attack this season, now comprising just 7.7%.
Kenny Pickett's 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season illustrates a noteable decline in his rushing prowess over last season's 17.0 figure.
Kenny Pickett's ground efficiency has declined this year, averaging a measly 2.87 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.40 rate last year.
Kenny Pickett has been one of the worst quarterbacks in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 1.26 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.

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