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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.

The projections expect Kenny Pickett to be a more important option in his team's run game this week (12.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.3% in games he has played).

When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (128 per game) vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 54.5 per game on average).

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.

In racking up a puny 1.5 carries per game this year, Kenny Pickett stands among the bottom QBs in football (11th percentile) when talking about ground game volume.

Kenny Pickett has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (4.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

Kenny Pickett's ground efficiency has diminished this season, compiling a mere 2.57 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.40 rate last season.

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