Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 2:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+106/-136).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best DE corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have used some form of misdirection on a lowly 35.9% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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