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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 183.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 167.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 183.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Kenny Pickett this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the model to run 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.

The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 60.1 plays per game.

This year, the shaky Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to the opposing side: a staggering 8.35 yards.

This year, the anemic Cowboys defense has given up the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a massive 5.19 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and increased ground volume.

In this contest, Kenny Pickett is predicted by the projection model to total the 3rd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 27.8.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

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