Kenny Pickett Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 202.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 190.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 202.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Opposing teams have passed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (261.0 per game) versus the Bengals defense this year.
This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a monstrous 8.53 yards.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 54.6% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect Kenny Pickett to attempt 32.6 passes this week, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
Kenny Pickett has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (170.0) this year than he did last year (200.0).
Kenny Pickett's 60.7% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a noteable regression in his passing precision over last year's 64.9% figure.

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