Kenny Pickett Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 2:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 180.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 185.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 180.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 5th-most yards in football (264.0 per game) vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year (73.2%).
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, giving up 8.08 yards-per-target: the 10th-most in football.
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have used play action on a mere 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.