Kenny Pickett Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 214.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 214.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have passed for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 210.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in football vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year (68.0%).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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