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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 223.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 215.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers have been the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.
  • The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The New Orleans Saints defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-least in football.
  • Opposing QBs have thrown for the 5th-least yards in football (just 202.0 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-lowest level in the NFL against the New Orleans Saints defense this year (64.6%).
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, giving up 6.89 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the NFL.

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