Kenny Pickett Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 223.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 215.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers have been the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.4% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New Orleans Saints defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 5th-least yards in football (just 202.0 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-lowest level in the NFL against the New Orleans Saints defense this year (64.6%).
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, giving up 6.89 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the NFL.

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