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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Kenny Pickett Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.

The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone for it on 4th down just 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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