Kenny Pickett Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Interceptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 2:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
The Las Vegas Raiders have intercepted 0.33 throws per game this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst defense in football by this metric
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have used play action on a mere 18.5% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone for it on 4th down a measly 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.