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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Kenny Pickett Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, Kenny Pickett is predicted by the model to have the 9th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.4.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (43.7 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Kenny Pickett's 60.1% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteworthy regression in his passing accuracy over last year's 64.9% rate.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of CBs has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

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