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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Completions
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Kenny Pickett Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest rate in the league vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (75.3%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box against opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on a mere 18.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (3rd-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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