Kenny Pickett Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +117 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
While Kenny Pickett has been responsible for 7.6% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Pittsburgh's ground game this week at 12.9%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league last year in run support.
The Tennessee defensive ends rank as the 5th-worst collection of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

Kenny Pickett has averaged a measly 1.7 rush attempts per game this year, one of the lowest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (17th percentile).

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