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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Kenny Pickett Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this game, Kenny Pickett is predicted by the predictive model to earn the 9th-most carries out of all QBs with 3.6.
  • The projections expect Kenny Pickett to be a much bigger part of his team's run game in this week's contest (13.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (7.9% in games he has played).
  • In regards to blocking for rushers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 10th-best in football last year.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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