Kenny Pickett Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The model projects the Steelers to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
Kenny Pickett has averaged 3.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the largest rates in the league among QBs (76th percentile).
The model projects Kenny Pickett to be a more important option in his offense's running game this week (12.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.3% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Steelers have been the 8th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 35.4% run rate.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

More Kenny Pickett Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow