Kenny Pickett Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 25, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
Kenny Pickett has averaged 3.5 carries per game since the start of last season, one of the largest rates in the league among quarterbacks (76th percentile).
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles project as the 4th-worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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