Kenny Pickett Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 10th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
The model projects Kenny Pickett to total 3.2 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 9th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
After accounting for 13.0% of his team's rush attempts last year, Kenny Pickett has had a smaller role in the running game this year, now comprising just 7.1%.
The Browns defensive tackles grade out as the 8th-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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