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Kenny Golladay

Kenny Golladay Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Kenny Golladay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+364/-725).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -664 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -725.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Kenny Golladay has posted a colossal 74.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among wideouts.
  • Kenny Golladay's 49.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 80th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.3%) to wideouts since the start of last season (70.3%).
  • The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kenny Golladay to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (18.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (24.3% in games he has played).
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Kenny Golladay ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging just 0.00 per game.

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