Kenny Golladay Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Golladay

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Kenny Golladay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+364/-725).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -664 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -725.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Kenny Golladay has posted a colossal 74.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among wideouts.
Kenny Golladay's 49.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 80th percentile for wide receivers.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.3%) to wideouts since the start of last season (70.3%).
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Kenny Golladay to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (18.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (24.3% in games he has played).
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Kenny Golladay ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging just 0.00 per game.