Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 67.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Kenneth Walker to accumulate 15.3 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Kenneth Walker has garnered 66.2% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among running backs.
Kenneth Walker has averaged 71.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league among RBs (95th percentile).
Kenneth Walker's rushing effectiveness (4.67 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (76th percentile when it comes to running backs).
The New York Giants defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, conceding 5.22 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
The Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

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