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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Giants have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.4 plays per game.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least touchdowns in the NFL (0.57 per game) vs. the New York Giants defense this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have utilized motion in their offense on 28.2% of their plays since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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