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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+161/-208).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -187 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -208.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.
  • This week, Kenneth Walker III is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.1 targets.
  • With an elite 13.0% Target% (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III stands among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.
  • Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (57.9% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.
  • The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Kenneth Walker III's play as a receiver has declined this year, notching just 1.2 adjusted receptions compared to 4.2 last year.
  • This year, the tough Cardinals defense has yielded a feeble 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 10th-best rate in football.

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